NFL Week 10: The Dogs are Barking
Huge 3-0 week 9 in the NFL which has brought us to 18-10 on the season for you guys. Special shoutout to the Packers, Falcons, and Vikings. In week 9 I went with 3 underdogs and this week will be no different. I have three underdogs that I love and could see all three winning outright on Sunday. We start by dipping back into the well of the Minnesota Vikings.
Play of the week #1: Minnesota Vikings +3.5 @ Los Angeles Chargers
I like this pick down to three as well. I found it at +3.5 so that’s what I am sticking with. I think this is a phenomenal matchup for the Vikings. The Chargers have been exposed in recent weeks with their run defense. No team gives up more rushing yards than the Chargers in the league and the Vikings have a top ten rushing offense in terms of yards per game in the NFL. The Vikings should be able to move the ball with ease and this could turn into a shootout. I don’t see how they don’t keep it inside 3.5 and like I said earlier they can win this game. Another stat that I love is Mike Zimmer is 33-16 ATS off of a loss and 15-5 ATS off of a multi-game straight up losing streak. Love the Vikings here. SKOL.
Play of the week #2: New Orleans Saints +3 @ Tennessee Titans
We were on Atlanta +6 last week at New Orleans due to the Saints coming off of an emotional win. Now the roles are reversed here where the Saints are looking for a bounce back and the Titans are coming off of an emotional prime time win. I believe the score to that game against LA was inflated as well due to the Titans being gifted (essentially) two defensive touchdowns in the span of 30 seconds. This line feels like Vegas is begging you to take the Titans, which is exactly what people are doing. 62% of the public is on the Titans and the line has hardly moved, even with the sudden absence of Alvin Kamara. Where I think the Saints will have success in this game is defensively. I think they have a much better defense than the Rams and will cause problems for a Titans offense that is obviously already missing Derrick Henry but is now missing Julio Jones. When missing multiple stars against the Jets earlier in the season they had major struggles offensively, and I think the low total of 44 in this game indicates that as well. After wins against the Bills, Chiefs, Rams, and Colts, the Titans are due for a tough loss and I will take the three points all day with the Saints here.
Play of the week #3: Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 vs. Kansas City
We are fading the Chiefs again folks. I have no idea why they are favored on the road here or what they’ve done this season to indicate they should get that respect, but here we are. There is definitely a faction of people out there that think the Chiefs will turn back into the Chiefs eventually and that may be the reason why, but we are 9 games into the season and at some point you just are what you are in my opinion. I want you to remember a season ago when the Raiders beat the Chiefs in Arrowhead and then had the lead with under two minutes to go in their second matchup later in the season. The Raiders have the Chiefs number, and this year they are the better team. If not for uncharacteristic mistakes they should have beaten the Giants a week ago. I don’t believe that was their “A” game, but wee will certainly get their best performance on Sunday Night Football against a division rival. I love the matchup of Raiders defensive line against the Chiefs o-line and think the Raiders should be able to slice up this Chiefs defense.
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